Climate scientists are a preciously ambitious lot…
They actually think one day?
They will be able to predict the weather “10 days out”
[via LiveScience]How do you . . . predict future weather? ~by Sonia Aggarwal and Hallie Kennan
Weather forecasts are produced by models of temperature, wind speed and precipitation. Using those models, meteorologists can offer short-term predictions about whether to expect rain or sun, clouds or bright skies. But, weather forecasts are notoriously unreliable more than ten days out. To understand the long-term behavior of the atmosphere, climate scientists look at weather patterns over many decades or even centuries. The scientists study the way energy moves through the atmosphere — measuring and modeling things like the amount of sunlight hitting Earth, the rate that the oceans absorb heat and the mix of gases in Earth’s atmosphere over time. By studying the root causes of long-term changes in Earth’s atmosphere, climate scientists can project future effects.
And this is so cute?
For the simple reason that up until recently (and for the record, by “recently” I mean the past 15 YEARS)…
The temperature was vastly predictable–
(*shakes head sadly*)
–thanks to man-made global warming.
Riight. Absolutely it’s possible!
[via HotAir] The NYT wonders: So, what’s up with this warming plateau? ~by Erika Johnsen
That the planet has not warmed significantly in going on fifteen years is a fact that has become pretty much impossible to deny across all fronts; back in March, longtime climate fearmonger The Economist had out with it, and on Monday the New York Times opened up about some of the inconvenient truths facing the many ‘climate scientists’ whose decades of catastrophic climate models are all spectacularly failing to bear out. Granted, it was couched in the usual high-handed dismissals of those who they categorize as dismissive of their climate-change concerns, but it did include several important admissions:
The rise in the surface temperature of earth has been markedly slower over the last 15 years than in the 20 years before that. And that lull in warming has occurred even as greenhouse gases have accumulated in the atmosphere at a record pace.
The slowdown is a bit of a mystery to climate scientists. True, the basic theory that predicts a warming of the planet in response to human emissions does not suggest that warming should be smooth and continuous. To the contrary, in a climate system still dominated by natural variability, there is every reason to think the warming will proceed in fits and starts.
But given how much is riding on the scientific forecast, the practitioners of climate science would like to understand exactly what is going on. They admit that they do not, even though some potential mechanisms of the slowdown have been suggested. The situation highlights important gaps in our knowledge of the climate system, some of which cannot be closed until we get better measurements from high in space and from deep in the ocean.
Read on for much more parsing of the facts and excusing of poor policies, but here’s the really important gist: We don’t conclusively know all of the causes and effects of climate change, and we might not even know what we don’t know. This isn’t to say at all that greenhouse gases are not a thing, nor that carbon dioxide emissions are definitively unimportant, nor that we don’t have serious environmental issues that we need to consider going forward. But how is it, exactly, that the community of diehard eco-radicals and the self-proclaimed party of “science” has been proclaiming for decades that we are a heartbeat away from global catastrophe, and treating dissenting scientists as heretics, and insisting that we need to forcibly curtail our economic growth to deal with it and that people who aren’t one hundred percent on board are knuckle-draggers and/or greedy extremists, is surprised and angry that anyone is “dismissive” of them when it turns out they actually can’t be sure about it all? Because, science.
And now even the NYT is saying it…
YOU WILL NOT GET IT.
Sorry, but your “global warming” piggy bank is about all dried up thanks to…
Eek – Actual S C I E N C E always wins.
How’s all those EPA rulings that have increased just about the price of just about EVERYTHING (thank you rising gas prices!) and all those carbon taxes you’re about to be been hammered with, looking at, thanks to your silly belief in Al Gore’s mythical Pink Dragon, right about now?
Thought that might the case.